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Thursday, May 15, 2014

Saturday, May 10, 2014

Top Names for 2013 - the Results Are In!

The Social Security Administration released its top 10 names for 2013 today. I was wrong about Sophia, sort of. She is still #1 but is less popular  (only 1.1039% of girls were named Sophia, down from 1.1523% the year before). I had predicted on another website that Emma would be # 1 - well, I was wrong, but not entirely. Emma did rise in popularity, just not enough to completely overtake Sophia yet - 1.0888% of girls were named Emma in 2013 compared to 1.0812% in 2012).

In real terms that means there were 1,170 fewer Sophias  born and 89 additional Emmas came along in 2013 (versus 2012).

I was sort of right about Jacob. He did drop from #1. Only I had thought he would go to the 2nd spot and he fell to #3 (which makes him a 'history maker' in terms of #1 names here in the U.S. Jacob is the only #1 boy name to drop more than one spot when unseated from the #1 rank.) But I was so wrong about what name would be #1. On another website I predicted Mason would take the #1 spot, but that was taken instead by Noah. I did not see a resurgence of Noah at all, and so I was pleasantly surprised (Noah is a fantastic name).

I know some of you hate it when your favorite names become super popular but I don't feel quite like that. I love seeing good names being used more, and good spellings.

Here is the link to the SSA website.


Monday, May 5, 2014

Top Baby Names of 2013 - Predictions

I thought I'd give you some data to help you make the most educated guess of the top baby names for 2013 here in the U.S.  The Social Security Administration releases its list right around Mother's Day, so let's get our guesses on record before they publish their results!

Currently Jacob and Sophia are the #1 names given to babies in the United States. Less than 1% of boys named in 2012 were given the name Jacob. A little more than 1% of girls born in 2012 were named Sophia.
Looking at the graphs below you can see how Jacob and Sophia have fared in the past.





 Here is the trend in #1 names nationally the last 134 years:

Boys:

1880-1923  John     
1924-1939  Robert  
1940-1952  James    
1953            Robert   
1954-1959  Michael   
1960            David     
1961-1998  Michael   
1999-2012   Jacob     

Girls:

1880-1946  Mary     
1947-1952  Linda      
1953-1961  Mary       
1962-1969  Lisa        
1970-1984  Jennifer    
1985-1990  Jessica     
1991-1992  Ashley     
1993-1995  Jessica     
1996-2007  Emily       
2008            Emma      
2009-2010  Isabella      
2011-2012  Sophia      


Where do names go after being on the top of the heap? Boy names, without exception, drop to #2 the first year they are unseated from #1 status. Girl names generally do the same (only 2 #1 names have gone to #3 rather than #2 the first year they lost their crown).


2012




2011

2010

I am guessing Jacob will drop to #2 and so will Sophia.

What ranking do you predict for Sophia and Jacob for 2013?